Independent technical analysis of global financial markets.

For more than four decades, Rolf Bertschi has analysed financial markets through the lens of technical structure, long-term cycles and probabilistic forecasting. His approach focuses on identifying underlying market trends and structural turning points rather than reacting to short-term market noise.

Core Philosophy

Financial markets move in patterns driven by collective investor behaviour, economic cycles and long-term structural forces.

Technical analysis provides a framework to interpret these patterns objectively. Instead of relying on narratives or short-term news events, chart analysis focuses on price behaviour, trend structures and recurring market formations.

The goal is not to predict the future with certainty, but to identify the most probable market scenarios and the points where risks or opportunities emerge.

Methodology

The analytical framework is based on a combination of long-term trend analysis, structural chart interpretation and cyclical market behaviour.

Several complementary tools are used to assess market conditions:

• Long-term trend analysis to identify structural market direction
• Elliott Wave analysis to interpret large-scale market patterns
• Chart structures and formations to detect trend continuation or reversal signals
• Cyclical analysis to evaluate recurring market rhythms

Together, these methods provide a structured perspective on market developments across different time horizons.