AMRIZE and HOLCIM - One and one is more than two !
Amrize opened the day of June 23, 2025, at 46 and closed the day at 39.31. HOLCIM opened the day of June 23, 2025 at 50.48 and closed the day at 54.26. If I add up the closings of June 23, 2025, then the value of the two companies was 93.57. This compared to the last day of the “old” Holcim of 93.68. This means that one plus one was two. However, on June 24 and today, June 25, Holcim surged to a new high at 58.54. Over the same two days, Amrize declined and closed today at 40.55. This adds up to 99.09. This means that after three trading days, the value of the new companies rose by 5.8%.
BUT, WHAT IS THE CHART OUTLOOK? The chart below shows the rise in Holcim from October 2022 to today. The pattern from the 2023 low appears to form an EXPANDING WEDGE. Today, Holcim reached the upper resistance line (dashed orange) at 60. Based on the Fibonacci correlation of the single waves of the uptrend, I come up with five resistances between 60 and 70.50. It is highly likely that Holcim enters a correction, most likely from between 60 and 62. An immediate break above 62.50 and a rise to 65 or 70.50 appears rather unlikely. See the lower chart where I show the support levels, a break of which would give reason to TAKE PROFITS.
The chart below shows the rise in Holcim from the first day of trading in Amrize. Holcim reached the resistance at 59.50, a break of which would signal more strength to 62.50 or above.
I would TAKE PROFITS in Holcim if the supports at 56, 54 and 51 are broken.
Now, see the chart of AMRIZE on the next lower chart.
Maybe you think that there is not enough data to analyze the first three trading days of Amrize. However, based on the high of the opening at 46 and the closing low of June 23, I can still calculate the short-term Fibonacci wave correlations.
Based on these levels, I WOULD BUY IF THE RESISTANCES ARE BROKEN AT 41.75, 42.10, 43.20 AND 44.5.
I WOULD SELL IF THE SUPPORTS ARE BROKEN AT 39.90-39.40 AND 37.30-36.90.