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Bertschis Chart Outlook Blog

Welcome to MY BLOG – YOUR guide to the financial markets!
In my BLOG, I analyze current market trends, make informed forecasts, and share insightful charts to help you better understand the dynamics of the financial world.
In all my blogs, I offer a chart outlook with clear buy and sell signals.

UPDATE on the SWISS STOCK MARKET

The SMI has followed my forecast from the Chart Outlook #27 of July 28, 2025.
My forecast called for the extension of the decline from the July 10 top at 12128.46 towards the support at 11850. The SMI did start a rebound rally from the low of July 14 at 11873.66 and rose to the 61.80% retracement of the July decline at 12033. As long as the SMI holds above 11900, it could still extend the rebound rally above the key resistance 12033-12060 and towards 12075 or 12200.
However, in both wave interpretations, the rally from the June low is labeled as intervening wave (x). Both wave counts (the TRIANGLE or the inverse FLAT) imply that the SMI is likely to fall below the major support 11800 to 11750 in August.
As of Friday’s close, my Trend and Momentum Model for the SMI remains
LONG-TERM DOWN (short), MEDIUM-TERM FLAT (neutral) and the SHORT-TERM was upgrade to UP (long).

Below, you see the 21 stocks of the SMI Index with the SCORE, the long-term, medium-term and short-term RATINGS, the recommendations and the resistances and supports.
Note that “u” means the rating is upgraded by one notch (from - to 0 or 0 to +) from last week’s Chart Outlook. The “uu” means an upgrade by two grades (from - to +).
Note that the “d” means the rating is downgraded by one grade (from + to 0 or from 0 to -) while the “dd” means a downgrade by two grades (from + to -).
Moreover note that the position is not a short-, medium- or long-term position. I am looking to BUY (or SELL) stocks when I expect the next wave to be in the range of 10% plus. If the stock rises by 10% and breaks above resistance levels, I will see if I want to ADD to the position. As long as the stock does not break the major supports or fall more than 8%, then the position will become a medium-term or long-term position.

Below, I list all SPI stocks, listed according to the technical MODEL SCORE.
Note that the score is GREEN (bullish) between 62% and 100%. It is YELLOW (neutral) between 62% and 38% and it is RED (bearish) between 38% and 0%.

Rolf Bertschi